CHENNAI: With four days left for the Tamil Nadu Assembly election results to be declared, multiple exit polls are predicting a win for the incumbent DMK, though by a narrow vote share margin. Counting is scheduled for May 4.
Most projections give the DMK and its allies between 125 and 160 seats in the 234-member assembly, while the AIADMK-led alliance is expected to secure 50 to 100 seats. Actor Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), contesting its first election, is widely predicted to win 13 to 26 seats.
However, a notable outlier is the India Today–Axis My India poll, which suggests a dramatic breakthrough for TVK—projecting it could win 98 to 120 seats. According to Axis My India, the DMK alliance may win 92–110 seats, and the AIADMK just 22–32. TVK is estimated to capture around 35% of the vote share, matching the DMK’s projected 35%, while the AIADMK trails at 23%.
Pradeep Gupta of Axis My India said TVK performed exceptionally well in the Chennai region. The half-way mark to form a government in Tamil Nadu is 118 seats.