Rupee regains strength after early plunge, ends 20 paise down

In line with local equities, the rupee too recouped its massive initial losses but ended still lower by 20 paise to 64.24 a dollar after the trends showed the BJP will form governments in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh.
Rupee regains strength after early plunge, ends 20 paise down
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Scripting its biggest single-day fall in the recent past, the rupee nosedived by a whopping 70 paise to 64.74 in early trade after a sense of panic and disbelief rippled through currency trading after initial trends suggested that the ruling BJP was lagging behind in Gujarat election results.
Though, the domestic currency managed to recover a major chunk of the lost ground against the dollar, the overall weak sentiment kept the rupee under continued pressure throughout the day.
The rupee had gained 30 paise to close at a fresh three-month high on Friday.
Encouraging domestic macro data along with robust capital inflows and bearish dollar undertone predominantly helped the domestic currency.
Belying concerns that lingering issues with the goods and services tax (GST) will dent outward shipments, India's exports rose at a faster pace in November.
India's exports rose 30.55 per cent to USD 26.19 billion in November, reversing the decline witnessed in October, while imports too grew 19.61 per cent to USD 40 billion in November from USD 33.46 billion.
The trade deficit widened to USD 13.82 billion as against USD 13.39 billion in November 2016.
The US currency traded soft against major rivals in early Asian trade amid hopes of tax reform.
After a choppy time for oil prices last week Brent crude, an international benchmark, is up 0.7 per cent at USD 63.38 per barrel.
Meanwhile, domestic bourses extended gains for the third-straight session after recovering from a early brutal fall on prospects that the BJP is set to retain power in Gujarat and elbow out the Congress in Himachal Pradesh.
The flagship Sensex jumped nearly 139 points to close at 33,601.68, while Nifty rose 56 points at 10,388.75.
Most Asian stocks ended higher largely supported by record-high Wall Street closes and hopes that US tax reform is getting closer to the statute book.
At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market, the home currency resumed weak at 64.15 against last Friday's close of 64.04 on fresh dollar demand.
It soon plunged to hit an intra-day low of 64.74, reacting to the initial trends of the election results in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh.
However, the rupee managed to overcome early setback and staged a smart recovery in tandem with local stocks, but eventually ended at 64.24, showing a loss of 20 paise, or 0.31 per cent.
The RBI, meanwhile, fixed the reference rate for the dollar at 64.1065 and for the euro at 75.4277.
On the global front, the greenback dipped against a basket of major currencies on caution ahead of a vote in US Congress on tax reform, after the bill moved another step closer to ratification over the weekend.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, was up at 93.21 in early trade.
In cross-currency trades, the rupee advanced against the pound sterling to settle at 85.81 from 85.88 per pound and also strengthened against the Japanese yen to finish at 57.07 per 100 yens from 57.10 earlier.
The home unit, however, fell back against the euro to close at 75.74 from 75.59 previously.
Elsewhere, the common currency euro is trading higher against the US dollar ahead of the Eurozone final CPI inflation data for November.
The British pound sterling inched up even as Brexit negotiations moved into the second phase of dealing with trade with the tough legislative conditionality of the deal from the EU side.
In forward market today, premium for dollar declined owing to mild receiving from exporters.
The benchmark six-month premium payable in May eased to 126-128 paise from 127.50-129.50 paise and the far forward October 2018 contract also edged lower to 263.50-265.50 paise 266-268 paise.
On the global energy front, crude prices edged higher lifted by an ongoing North Sea pipeline outage and over signs that booming US crude output growth may be slowing, although the outlook for oil markets cites ample supplies despite ongoing production cuts led by OPEC.

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