Chennai
The quest for gold has set off wars, shaped civilisations and warped relationships, but the precious yellow metal seems to never lose its sheen – at least in India.
Here, the Central bank accumulates gold, businessmen use it as a means to save illegal money, the underworld hoards it, and the middle class buys it, flaunts it and uses it as investment. Not even the gods are spared as devotees flock to temples in a race to offer gold to the deities.
Across civilisations, gold has been a metal of value well before the advent of money in human history. Unlike currency, gold is universally accepted.
No weddings can be conducted without gold, particularly in South India, where the obsession for gold is legendary. Historian Prof Kapil Kumar says, “It is not that Indians alone are affectionate towards gold. Gold is a precious metal and a rare commodity.
Historically it became the symbol of prosperity and luxury. Gold has its inherent value, is very convenient to store and is rated as a high value commodity in the ancient system. It was convenient to make payments with gold and even bribe in the old system. All these advantages are still continuing without much change.”
A symbol of wealth
In 1982, India’s total consumption of gold was 65 tonnes (population was 71.31 crore). In 2018 it shot up to around 760.4 tonnes and saw an average consumption of over 700 tonnes in the last decade. While the population doubled during this period gold consumption went up phenomenally by 10 times. According to the World Gold Council, (WGC) India is one of the largest markets of gold as growing affluence drives demand. Gold has a central role in the country’s culture, considered a store of value, a symbol of wealth and status and a fundamental part of many rituals. Among the country’s rural population, a deep affinity for gold goes hand in hand with practical considerations of the portability and security of jewellery as an investment.
In every small town, one can see scores of gold jewellery retail outlets. The gold and diamond jewellery industry, which used to be mostly dominated by small and family concerns, have slowly started graduating into organised entities with corporate entities such as the Tatas (Tanishq) too entering the fray. The bigger branded companies are pushing the demand for gold with attractive marketing and advertising campaigns.
Growing market
In India most gold jewellery purchases happen during the wedding season. Apart from that, purchases are made on auspicious days like the regional New Year, Akshaya Trithiya or Dhanteras and Diwali. Parents or grandparents gift gold to the new born and even birthdays are occasions for gifting gold. Indians find every possible occasion to purchase gold. Now the retail outlets market it vigorously with special packages to enlarge their reach.
The gem and jewellery industry has a significant position in the Indian economy. This market is estimated at $75 billion and is likely to touch the $100 billion mark by 2025. It presently contributes seven per cent of India’s GDP.
“Transforming India’s Gold Market,’ a study conducted by government think tank Niti Aayog, estimates that the gold industry’s contribution will double to three per cent from the current 1.3 per cent by 2022. Similarly, employment opportunities in the gold industry will increase from 6.1 million currently to 10 million by 2022.
With the recent hike of 2.5 per cent customs duty, gold attracts an import duty of 12.5 per cent and an additional GST of three per cent that makes it 15.5 per cent costlier in India than the international market. But irrespective of whether the international price of gold is shooting up and the Indian government is hiking taxes to discourage the domestic consumption to save forex, Indians are buying more and more gold and it is growing at the rate of 15 per cent a year.
Higher gold consumption
Says T S Kalyanaraman, chairman and managing director of the Rs 15,000-crore Kalyan Jewellers,“In the 90s, when the economy opened up to foreign investments, we were exposed to a new way of life – job creation, private enterprise and a slew of other opportunities.
This created a new, educated working middle class. Naturally, they looked towards gold, as a secure, easy-to-liquidate asset class.”
Another leading gold jewellery chain, Joy Alukkas group chairman and managing director, Joy Alukkas, gives credit to economic liberalisation which commenced in 1991. He says, “Increased foreign investments, deregulation of markets, reduction in import tariffs and taxes propelled the economy and India went on to achieve high economic growth during the 1990s and 2000s.” Improved job opportunities and higher income levels encouraged people to buy gold.
Liberalisation helped to expand gold retail chains across the country and also created unprecedented demand from the rural areas. During this period organised retail players placed their footprints across the country and a number of local state-level players emerged.
Gold jewellery accounts for about 50 per cent of gold consumption, followed by gold bars and coins, which account for another 25 per cent. Now the question is who buys more gold. There is a general perception that it is fuelled by the middle class. Economist professor Venkatesh Athreya, differs. “The high gold consumption is coming from the upper crust of society – highly rich people.
After liberalisation the income of the upper class has increased very rapidly. That trend is continuing. They are the people who consume more gold,” he says.
Social pressure to buy yellow metal
About one per cent of households account for 60 per cent of India’s total wealth. “Historically, we have seen unequal distribution. After liberalisation this has intensified manifold. And there is a phenomenal increase in illegal wealth in the country. A good part of the money will go towards buying gold,” professor Athreya said.
Echoing his views, historian Kumar says, “The high-income group spends lavishly on weddings and celebrates them ostentatiously. It is a pure display of wealth. Showcasing gold and precious stones is fashionable. Peer pressure from society and the tendency to imitate compel the middle and lower middle classes to follow this trend. However, although these segments are large in numbers, consumption is not higher. High consumption is recorded from the richer sections of the society.”
Times are uncertain owing to the geo political and economic situation globally— the US trade embargo on Iran, increasing trade war between the US and China, unrest in the Middle East, the US withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty, that is likely to start a fresh nuclear and missile arms race between the US and Russia, unrest in Hong Kong streets, missile treaty from North Korea, slow-down in the economy and uncertain stock markets. Not a healthy picture at all.
Legendary investment banker J P Morgan succinctly puts it: “Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” No wonder then that Indians are so obsessed with gold. It is safe and liquid in a troubled world.
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